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Oct 26 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Andrew Nembhard?

The verdict

Start Andrew Nembhard

Wins 83% of simulated matchups against Nesmith.

Oct 25: Nembhard outscored Nesmith 19.7 to 15.2. Our call, start Nembhard (86%), was right.

Nesmith 17% 83% Nembhard

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
G Pacers G #70

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 9.7
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 9:00 AM ET · checked 16m ago
G Pacers G #17 Start

Andrew Nembhard

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 31.3
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 14.8 FanDuel pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Nembhard: 27.5 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 31.3 minutes, 9.7 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 15.2 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 14.3 20 7
Nembhard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 19.7 29 8
Oct 23 vs DAL 27.9 32 11
Oct 21 @ NOP 34.9 33 10

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Nembhard
Median FanDuel pts 9.7 31.3
Min 14.0 29.7
PTS 6.9 15.2
REB 2.0 2.8
AST 1.0 6.9
STL 0.3 1.1
BLK 0.2 0.1
3PM 1.2 1.8
TO 0.6 2.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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