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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Kenrich Williams?

Close call

Start Aaron Nesmith

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Oct 25: Nesmith outscored Williams 17.3 to 4.8. Our call, start Nesmith (72%), was right.

Nesmith 54% 46% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nesmith has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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G Pacers G #69 Start

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 10.3
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 11:22 AM ET · checked 2m ago
G Thunder G #70

Kenrich Williams

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 10.3
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 16.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Williams: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 6.3 minutes, 1.3 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 17.3 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 15.5 20 7
Williams Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 4.8 7 1
Oct 22 vs DEN 6.3 5 2
Oct 20 @ SAS 6.0 7 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Williams
Median DraftKings pts 10.3 10.3
Min 13.8 11.2
PTS 6.8 4.8
REB 2.0 2.4
AST 1.0 1.0
STL 0.3 0.4
BLK 0.2 0.1
3PM 1.2 0.8
TO 0.6 0.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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