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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Terrence Shannon Jr.?

The verdict

Start Terrence Shannon Jr.

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Nesmith.

Oct 25: Shannon Jr. outscored Nesmith 27.0 to 17.3. Our call, start Shannon Jr. (63%), was right.

Nesmith 35% 65% Shannon Jr.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
G Pacers G #65

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 13.0
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 3:02 PM ET · checked 9m ago
G Timberwolves G #49 Start

Terrence Shannon Jr.

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 19.5
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 16.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Shannon Jr.: 20.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 21.3 minutes, 7.0 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 17.3 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 15.5 20 7
Shannon Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs TOR 27.0 22 6
Oct 23 @ ORL 21.5 22 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 13.3 20 9

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Shannon Jr.
Median DraftKings pts 13.0 19.5
Min 15.5 23.9
PTS 7.6 12.1
REB 2.3 2.7
AST 1.1 1.9
STL 0.4 0.7
BLK 0.2 0.1
3PM 1.3 1.5
TO 0.7 1.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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