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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Aday Mara or Marvin Bagley III?

Close call

Start Aday Mara

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Bagley III.

Mara 54% 46% Bagley III

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Bagley III has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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F Thunder F #60 Start

Aday Mara

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0
Status Active
F Nuggets F #63

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 9.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Mara: 10.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 12.3 minutes, 3.3 shots.
  • Bagley III: 6.0 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 9.5 minutes, 2.5 shots.
Mara Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 6.0 14 3
Oct 22 vs DEN 10.0 12 3
Oct 20 @ SAS 14.0 11 4
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 2.0 10 3

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Mara Bagley III
Median Points league pts 12.0 9.0
Min 14.3 10.6
PTS 5.5 5.1
REB 3.0 3.1
AST 1.0 0.7
STL 0.5 0.3
BLK 0.6 0.3
3PM 0.5 0.3
TO 1.1 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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