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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aday Mara or Trey Lyles?

The verdict

Start Aday Mara

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Lyles.

Oct 25: Lyles outscored Mara 15.0 to 8.3. Our call, start Lyles (61%), was right.

Mara 55% 45% Lyles

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Thunder F #55 Start

Aday Mara

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 13.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Mara: 10.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 12.3 minutes, 3.3 shots.
  • Lyles: 12.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 14.0 minutes, 3.3 shots.
Mara Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 8.3 14 3
Oct 22 vs DEN 9.3 12 3
Oct 20 @ SAS 12.5 11 4
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs TOR 15.0 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 19.3 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 2.3 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Mara Lyles
Median DraftKings pts 15.0 13.0
Min 17.0 16.5
PTS 6.7 5.6
REB 3.5 3.8
AST 1.3 1.1
STL 0.6 0.5
BLK 0.8 0.2
3PM 0.6 1.0
TO 1.4 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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