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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Jaren Jackson Jr.?

The verdict

Start Jaren Jackson Jr.

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Bailey.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Jackson Jr. 43.0 to 16.0. Our call, start Jackson Jr. (71%), was wrong.

Bailey 35% 65% Jackson Jr.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Jazz F #22

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 27.0
Status Active
F Jazz F #6 Start

Jaren Jackson Jr.

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 29.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
  • Jackson Jr.: 28.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 31.3 minutes, 13.0 shots.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 43.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 11.0 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.0 24 11
Jackson Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 16.0 33 14
Oct 23 vs NOP 41.0 33 15
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.0 28 10

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Jackson Jr.
Median Points league pts 27.0 37.0
Min 26.6 30.0
PTS 13.4 19.6
REB 5.4 6.4
AST 2.4 2.4
STL 0.9 1.3
BLK 0.8 1.5
3PM 1.8 1.7
TO 1.7 2.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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