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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Ajay Mitchell or Andrew Nembhard?

Close call

Start Andrew Nembhard

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Mitchell.

Oct 25: Mitchell outscored Nembhard 37.0 to 22.3. Our call, start Nembhard (69%), was wrong.

Mitchell 47% 53% Nembhard

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nembhard has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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G Thunder G #23

Ajay Mitchell

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 30.3
Status Active
G Pacers G #18 Start

Andrew Nembhard

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 32.5
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Mitchell: 26.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 24.0 minutes, 11.0 shots.
  • Nembhard: 28.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 31.3 minutes, 9.7 shots.
Mitchell Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 37.0 27 14
Oct 22 vs DEN 22.5 23 11
Oct 20 @ SAS 18.8 22 8
Nembhard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 22.3 29 8
Oct 23 vs DAL 28.0 32 11
Oct 21 @ NOP 35.0 33 10

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Mitchell Nembhard
Median DraftKings pts 30.3 32.5
Min 29.7 29.8
PTS 15.0 15.2
REB 3.8 2.8
AST 4.2 6.9
STL 1.8 1.1
BLK 0.3 0.1
3PM 1.4 1.8
TO 1.6 2.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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