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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Alex Caruso or James Harden?

The verdict

Start James Harden

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Caruso.

Caruso 35% 65% Harden

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings

Follow this matchup

Caruso or Harden: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Thunder G #20

Alex Caruso

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 31.8
G Cavaliers G #7 Start

James Harden

vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 39.0

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Caruso: 27.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 22.0 minutes, 6.0 shots.
  • Harden: 31.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 32.5 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Caruso Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 36.3 22 7
Oct 22 vs DEN 24.0 19 7
Oct 20 @ SAS 21.0 25 4
Harden Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs BKN 35.0 33 8
Oct 22 @ PHI 27.8 32 12

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Caruso Harden
Median DraftKings pts 31.8 39.0
Min 32.9 34.8
PTS 13.2 20.3
REB 5.3 4.8
AST 3.8 6.7
STL 2.4 1.3
BLK 0.7 0.6
3PM 2.4 2.6
TO 1.3 4.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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