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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Andrew Nembhard or LaMelo Ball?

Close call

Start LaMelo Ball

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Nembhard.

Oct 25: Ball outscored Nembhard 33.3 to 22.3. Our call, start Ball (59%), was right.

Nembhard 49% 51% Ball

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ball has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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G Pacers G #17

Andrew Nembhard

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 32.3
Status Active
G Timberwolves G #16 Start

LaMelo Ball

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 32.8
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nembhard: 28.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 31.3 minutes, 9.7 shots.
  • Ball: 33.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 22.7 minutes, 12.7 shots.
Nembhard Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 22.3 29 8
Oct 23 vs DAL 28.0 32 11
Oct 21 @ NOP 35.0 33 10
Ball Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs TOR 33.3 16 8
Oct 23 @ ORL 29.3 23 13
Oct 21 @ MIA 38.5 29 17

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nembhard Ball
Median DraftKings pts 32.3 32.8
Min 29.7 22.9
PTS 15.2 16.1
REB 2.8 3.7
AST 6.9 5.6
STL 1.1 1.2
BLK 0.1 0.1
3PM 1.8 3.0
TO 2.0 2.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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