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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Chet Holmgren or Daniel Gafford?

The verdict

Start Chet Holmgren

Wins 74% of simulated matchups against Gafford.

Holmgren 74% 26% Gafford

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
C Thunder C #4 Start

Chet Holmgren

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Active
C Mavericks C #14

Daniel Gafford

@ Miami Heat · Monday, October 26, 7:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 22.0
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 6:03 AM ET · checked 10m ago

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Holmgren: 34.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 29.3 minutes, 9.0 shots.
  • Gafford: 27.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 19.3 minutes, 4.7 shots.
Holmgren Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 18.0 31 10
Oct 22 vs DEN 48.0 27 9
Oct 20 @ SAS 37.0 30 8
Gafford Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs SAS 42.0 23 9
Oct 23 @ IND 25.0 14 4
Oct 21 @ HOU 14.0 21 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Holmgren Gafford
Median Points league pts 37.0 22.0
Min 31.4 16.2
PTS 16.2 7.9
REB 9.5 5.2
AST 1.7 1.3
STL 0.9 0.6
BLK 1.8 1.0
3PM 1.4 0.0
TO 1.6 0.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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