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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Chet Holmgren or Jaxson Hayes?

The verdict

Start Chet Holmgren

Wins 81% of simulated matchups against Hayes.

Oct 25: Holmgren outscored Hayes 19.5 to 18.8. Our call, start Holmgren (79%), was right.

Holmgren 81% 19% Hayes

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
C Thunder C #4 Start

Chet Holmgren

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 37.0
Status Active
C Jazz C #14

Jaxson Hayes

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 20.8
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Holmgren: 33.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 29.3 minutes, 9.0 shots.
  • Hayes: 26.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 23.3 minutes, 5.3 shots.
Holmgren Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 19.5 31 10
Oct 22 vs DEN 46.3 27 9
Oct 20 @ SAS 33.3 30 8
Hayes Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 18.8 19 5
Oct 23 vs NOP 30.3 25 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 31.3 26 3

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Holmgren Hayes
Median DraftKings pts 37.0 20.8
Min 31.4 20.8
PTS 16.2 8.6
REB 9.5 5.4
AST 1.7 1.4
STL 0.9 0.7
BLK 1.8 1.3
3PM 1.4 0.1
TO 1.6 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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