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Oct 27 · DraftKings start/sit

Start De'Aaron Fox or Stephon Castle?

Close call

Start Stephon Castle

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Fox.

Free tiebreaker

Castle has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Fox Castle
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Fox or Castle: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

G Spurs G #5

De'Aaron Fox

vs Sacramento Kings · Tuesday, October 27, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 35.3
Status Active Spurs injury report →
G Spurs G #4 Start

Stephon Castle

vs Sacramento Kings · Tuesday, October 27, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 37.0
Status Active Spurs injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Fox: 39.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 30.3 minutes, 10.3 shots, SAC allows the 18th most to guards.
  • Castle: 37.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 29.3 minutes, 18.0 shots, SAC allows the 18th most to guards.
Fox Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DAL 44.3 27 11
Oct 23 vs HOU 40.0 33 11
Oct 20 vs OKC 34.3 31 9
Castle Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DAL 42.0 28 18
Oct 23 vs HOU 34.3 32 15
Oct 20 vs OKC 35.3 28 21

Oct 27

Projected stat lines

Stat Fox Castle
Median DraftKings pts 35.3 37.0
Min 29.6 29.8
PTS 17.5 17.5
REB 3.8 5.3
AST 6.4 6.8
STL 1.5 1.2
BLK 0.3 0.3
3PM 1.7 1.6
TO 2.0 2.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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