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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Franz Wagner or Jalen Johnson?

Close call

Start Franz Wagner

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Free tiebreaker

Johnson has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Wagner Johnson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Wagner or Johnson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Magic F #8 Start

Franz Wagner

@ Toronto Raptors · Wednesday, October 28, 7:30 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 39.3
Status Active Magic injury report →
F Hawks F #4

Jalen Johnson

vs Miami Heat · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 44.5
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Wed 7:23 AM ET · checked 19m ago Hawks injury report →

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Wagner: 41.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 32.7 minutes, 19.0 shots, TOR allows the 23rd most to forwards.
  • Johnson: 51.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 32.3 minutes, 17.0 shots, MIA allows the 13th most to forwards.
Wagner Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ NYK 52.8 37 23
Oct 23 vs MIN 32.5 32 14
Oct 21 vs ATL 38.5 29 20
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ HOU 44.8 36 14
Oct 24 vs HOU 66.8 38 19
Oct 23 @ CHA 46.3 28 16
Oct 21 @ ORL 47.0 27 19

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Wagner Johnson
Median DraftKings pts 39.3 44.5
Min 34.9 24.1
PTS 22.2 15.9
REB 6.4 7.4
AST 4.4 5.5
STL 1.2 1.0
BLK 0.3 0.4
3PM 1.5 1.2
TO 3.1 2.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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