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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Gui Santos or Marvin Bagley III?

The verdict

Start Gui Santos

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Bagley III.

Santos 55% 45% Bagley III

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings

Follow this matchup

Santos or Bagley III: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Warriors F #56 Start

Gui Santos

@ Denver Nuggets · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Q Knee Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 6:01 PM ET · checked 21m ago Warriors injury report →
F Nuggets F #63

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 11.5

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Santos: 18.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 22.0 minutes, 5.7 shots.
  • Bagley III: 8.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 9.5 minutes, 2.5 shots.
Santos Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ PHX 16.5 23 4
Oct 23 vs MEM 17.5 19 3
Oct 21 @ LAL 20.8 24 10
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 6.3 10 3

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Santos Bagley III
Median DraftKings pts 15.0 11.5
Min 15.2 11.5
PTS 6.5 5.6
REB 2.8 3.4
AST 1.7 0.8
STL 0.6 0.3
BLK 0.2 0.4
3PM 0.8 0.3
TO 0.9 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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