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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Herbert Jones or Larry Nance Jr.?

Close call

Start Herbert Jones

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Nance Jr..

Free tiebreaker

Nance Jr. has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Jones Nance Jr.
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

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Jones or Nance Jr.: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Pelicans F #81 Start

Herbert Jones

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 12.0
F Pacers F #84

Larry Nance Jr.

vs Philadelphia 76ers · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 11.3
Status Active Pacers injury report →

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jones: 7.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 16.3 minutes, 3.0 shots, DEN allows the 14th most to forwards.
  • Nance Jr.: 6.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 11.5 minutes, 2.5 shots, PHI allows the 29th most to forwards.
Jones Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 8.3 16 3
Oct 23 @ UTA 4.8 17 2
Oct 21 vs IND 9.5 16 4
Nance Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ MIL 10.8 19 6
Oct 25 @ BKN 17.0 21 3
Oct 23 vs DAL 0.0 1 0
Oct 21 @ NOP 0.0 5 1

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Jones Nance Jr.
Median DraftKings pts 12.0 11.3
Min 16.5 14.4
PTS 5.3 4.7
REB 2.0 3.4
AST 1.5 1.1
STL 0.9 0.5
BLK 0.3 0.3
3PM 0.8 0.7
TO 0.7 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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