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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Isaiah Hartenstein or Trey Murphy III?

Close call

Start Trey Murphy III

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Hartenstein.

Free tiebreaker

Murphy III has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Hartenstein Murphy III
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Hartenstein or Murphy III: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Thunder F #15

Isaiah Hartenstein

@ Dallas Mavericks · Wednesday, October 28, 9:30 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 34.3
F Pelicans F #12 Start

Trey Murphy III

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 35.3

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Hartenstein: 25.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 23.0 minutes, 7.5 shots, DAL allows the 8th most to forwards.
  • Murphy III: 27.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 32.7 minutes, 12.3 shots, DEN allows the 14th most to forwards.
Hartenstein Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs PHX 36.8 26 7
Oct 25 vs LAC 31.0 27 9
Oct 22 vs DEN 17.5 22 10
Oct 20 @ SAS 15.3 17 4
Murphy III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 41.5 36 17
Oct 23 @ UTA 22.5 31 9
Oct 21 vs IND 18.5 31 11

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Hartenstein Murphy III
Median DraftKings pts 34.3 35.3
Min 28.4 33.7
PTS 11.3 19.4
REB 10.4 5.4
AST 3.9 3.5
STL 1.3 1.3
BLK 1.1 0.4
3PM 0.1 3.1
TO 1.8 1.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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