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Oct 28 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jabari Smith Jr. or Trey Murphy III?

Close call

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Murphy III.

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Smith Jr. Murphy III
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Smith Jr. or Murphy III: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Rockets F #11 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 34.7
F Pelicans F #13

Trey Murphy III

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 34.3

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith Jr.: 34.4 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 34.8 minutes, 11.8 shots, MIL allows the 4th most to forwards.
  • Murphy III: 25.7 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 32.7 minutes, 12.3 shots, DEN allows the 14th most to forwards.
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs ATL 42.9 39 13
Oct 24 @ ATL 30.5 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 21.5 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 42.5 36 17
Murphy III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 38.2 36 17
Oct 23 @ UTA 21.7 31 9
Oct 21 vs IND 17.3 31 11

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Jr. Murphy III
Median FanDuel pts 34.7 34.3
Min 36.9 33.7
PTS 17.6 19.4
REB 8.1 5.4
AST 2.2 3.5
STL 0.9 1.3
BLK 1.1 0.4
3PM 2.4 3.1
TO 1.4 1.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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