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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Jaren Jackson Jr. or Airious Bailey?

The verdict

Start Jaren Jackson Jr.

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Bailey.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Jackson Jr. 43.0 to 16.0. Our call, start Jackson Jr. (71%), was wrong.

Jackson Jr. 65% 35% Bailey

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Jazz F #6 Start

Jaren Jackson Jr.

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Active
F Jazz F #22

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 27.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Jackson Jr.: 28.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 31.3 minutes, 13.0 shots.
  • Bailey: 29.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Jackson Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 16.0 33 14
Oct 23 vs NOP 41.0 33 15
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.0 28 10
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 43.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 11.0 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.0 24 11

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Jackson Jr. Bailey
Median Points league pts 37.0 27.0
Min 30.0 26.6
PTS 19.6 13.4
REB 6.4 5.4
AST 2.4 2.4
STL 1.3 0.9
BLK 1.5 0.8
3PM 1.7 1.8
TO 2.7 1.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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