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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Keaton Wagler or Wendell Carter Jr.?

Close call

Start Wendell Carter Jr.

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Wagler.

Free tiebreaker

Carter Jr. has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Wagler Carter Jr.
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Wagler or Carter Jr.: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Clippers F #26

Keaton Wagler

vs Los Angeles Lakers · Wednesday, October 28, 10:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 28.0
F Magic F #22 Start

Wendell Carter Jr.

@ Toronto Raptors · Wednesday, October 28, 7:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 30.0
Status Active Magic injury report →

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Wagler: 24.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 25.3 minutes, 7.3 shots, LAL allows the 18th most to forwards.
  • Carter Jr.: 37.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 30.0 minutes, 8.3 shots, TOR allows the 25th most to forwards.
Wagler Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ OKC 19.0 25 6
Oct 23 @ LAL 14.0 23 8
Oct 21 vs SAC 39.0 28 8
Carter Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ NYK 26.0 32 6
Oct 23 vs MIN 45.0 28 9
Oct 21 vs ATL 40.0 30 10

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Wagler Carter Jr.
Median Points league pts 28.0 30.0
Min 29.5 34.7
PTS 15.3 13.9
REB 5.3 8.6
AST 4.0 2.2
STL 1.6 0.9
BLK 0.2 0.9
3PM 1.9 1.1
TO 3.0 2.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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