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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Kevin Durant or Trey Murphy III?

The verdict

Start Trey Murphy III

Wins 59% of simulated matchups against Durant.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Durant Murphy III
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Durant or Murphy III: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Rockets F #18

Kevin Durant

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 32.0
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Wed 9:41 AM ET · checked 12m ago Rockets injury report →
F Pelicans F #9 Start

Trey Murphy III

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 36.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Durant: 40.5 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 34.8 minutes, 13.5 shots, MIL allows the 4th most to forwards.
  • Murphy III: 26.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 32.7 minutes, 12.3 shots, DEN allows the 13th most to forwards.
Durant Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs ATL 48.0 30 13
Oct 24 @ ATL 34.0 36 15
Oct 23 @ SAS 35.0 36 10
Oct 21 vs DAL 45.0 37 16
Murphy III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 43.0 36 17
Oct 23 @ UTA 21.0 31 9
Oct 21 vs IND 16.0 31 11

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Durant Murphy III
Median Points league pts 32.0 36.0
Min 23.1 33.7
PTS 17.2 19.4
REB 4.1 5.4
AST 3.2 3.5
STL 0.6 1.3
BLK 0.7 0.4
3PM 1.4 3.1
TO 2.0 1.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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