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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Larry Nance Jr. or Trey Lyles?

Close call

Start Trey Lyles

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Nance Jr..

Oct 25: Nance Jr. outscored Lyles 18.0 to 13.0. Our call, start Lyles (79%), was wrong.

Nance Jr. 49% 51% Lyles

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Nance Jr. has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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F Pacers F #59

Larry Nance Jr.

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0
Status Active
F Timberwolves F #57 Start

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 13.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Nance Jr.: 5.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 9.0 minutes, 1.3 shots.
  • Lyles: 10.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 14.0 minutes, 3.3 shots.
Nance Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 18.0 21 3
Oct 23 vs DAL 0.0 1 0
Oct 21 @ NOP -1.0 5 1
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs TOR 13.0 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 18.0 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 0.0 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nance Jr. Lyles
Median Points league pts 12.0 13.0
Min 15.1 17.2
PTS 5.1 6.0
REB 3.4 4.0
AST 1.3 1.1
STL 0.7 0.6
BLK 0.2 0.2
3PM 0.7 1.1
TO 0.7 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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