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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Lauri Markkanen or Airious Bailey?

The verdict

Start Lauri Markkanen

Wins 73% of simulated matchups against Bailey.

Oct 25: Bailey outscored Markkanen 41.0 to 39.0. Our call, start Markkanen (79%), was wrong.

Markkanen 73% 27% Bailey

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Jazz F #4 Start

Lauri Markkanen

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 40.8
Status Active
F Jazz F #25

Airious Bailey

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 27.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Markkanen: 35.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 35.7 minutes, 15.0 shots.
  • Bailey: 29.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 24.7 minutes, 10.0 shots.
Markkanen Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 39.0 37 19
Oct 23 vs NOP 31.5 34 13
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.8 36 13
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 41.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 17.8 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.3 24 11

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Markkanen Bailey
Median DraftKings pts 40.8 27.0
Min 32.6 26.6
PTS 22.9 13.4
REB 7.6 5.4
AST 2.5 2.4
STL 1.1 0.9
BLK 0.5 0.8
3PM 2.7 1.8
TO 1.7 1.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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