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Oct 27 · Points league start/sit

Start Luka Garza or Mitchell Robinson?

The verdict

Start Mitchell Robinson

Wins 72% of simulated matchups against Garza.

Oct 26: Robinson outscored Garza 14.0 to 10.0. Our call, start Robinson (87%), was right.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Garza Robinson
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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Garza or Robinson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

C Celtics C #7

Luka Garza

vs Brooklyn Nets · Tuesday, October 27, 7:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 10.0
C Celtics C #6 Start

Mitchell Robinson

vs Brooklyn Nets · Tuesday, October 27, 7:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 20.0

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Garza: 9.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 8.0 minutes, 3.0 shots, BKN allows the 5th most to centers.
  • Robinson: 15.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 18.7 minutes, 3.0 shots, BKN allows the 5th most to centers.
Garza Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs CHI 10.0 13 3
Oct 23 vs NYK 18.0 3 3
Oct 20 @ DET 1.0 8 3
Robinson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs CHI 14.0 16 3
Oct 23 vs NYK 16.0 22 4
Oct 20 @ DET 17.0 18 2

Oct 27

Projected stat lines

Stat Garza Robinson
Median Points league pts 10.0 20.0
Min 10.3 17.3
PTS 5.7 5.9
REB 2.6 7.0
AST 0.8 0.8
STL 0.3 0.8
BLK 0.3 1.0
3PM 0.5 0.0
TO 0.6 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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