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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Mario Hezonja or Marvin Bagley III?

Close call

Start Mario Hezonja

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Bagley III.

Hezonja already played: 8.8 DraftKings pts (projected 13.3).

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Hezonja Bagley III

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Oct 27 call

Projections Tuesday, October 27, 12:00 AM ET

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F Cavaliers F #60 Start

Mario Hezonja

vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Final · MIN 125–127 CLE

Median (DraftKings) 13.3
F Nuggets F #63

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 12.5

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Hezonja: 16.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 17.3 minutes, 7.7 shots.
  • Bagley III: 8.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 9.5 minutes, 2.5 shots.
Hezonja Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs MIN 8.8 15 5
Oct 24 vs BKN 17.8 19 5
Oct 22 @ PHI 22.8 18 13
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 6.3 10 3

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Hezonja Bagley III
Median DraftKings pts 13.3 12.5
Min 17.6 12.6
PTS 5.8 6.1
REB 3.5 3.7
AST 1.1 0.9
STL 0.8 0.3
BLK 0.3 0.4
3PM 0.6 0.3
TO 1.0 0.7

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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