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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Cameron Johnson?

The verdict

Start Marvin Bagley III

Wins 71% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Bagley III 71% 29% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Nuggets F #64 Start

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 10.0
Status Active
F Nuggets F #96

Cameron Johnson

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Q Ankle Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 10:21 AM ET · checked 2m ago

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 8.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 9.5 minutes, 2.5 shots.
  • Johnson: 9.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 1, 11.0 minutes, 3.0 shots.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 6.3 10 3
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 22 @ OKC 9.5 11 3

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Johnson
Median DraftKings pts 10.0 0.0
Min 10.6 4.3
PTS 5.1 1.9
REB 3.1 0.6
AST 0.7 0.4
STL 0.3 0.1
BLK 0.3 0.1
3PM 0.3 0.3
TO 0.6 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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