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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Morez Johnson or Trey Lyles?

The verdict

Start Morez Johnson

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Lyles.

Johnson 56% 44% Lyles

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Mavericks F #51 Start

Morez Johnson

@ Miami Heat · Monday, October 26, 7:30 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 16.3
Status Active

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Monday, October 26, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 14.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Johnson: 12.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 13.7 minutes, 5.3 shots.
  • Lyles: 12.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 14.0 minutes, 3.3 shots.
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs SAS 10.3 12 6
Oct 23 @ IND 14.5 16 5
Oct 21 @ HOU 11.3 13 5
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs TOR 15.0 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 19.3 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 2.3 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Johnson Lyles
Median DraftKings pts 16.3 14.0
Min 16.1 17.2
PTS 8.6 6.0
REB 3.7 4.0
AST 1.6 1.1
STL 0.5 0.6
BLK 0.2 0.2
3PM 0.6 1.1
TO 1.7 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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