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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Tolu Smith or Will Riley?

The verdict

Start Will Riley

Wins 61% of simulated matchups against Smith.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Smith Riley
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

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Smith or Riley: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Pistons F #134

Tolu Smith

vs Charlotte Hornets · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
F Wizards F #104 Start

Will Riley

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 1.3

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 2.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 3.0 minutes, 0.7 shots, CHA allows the 17th most to forwards.
  • Riley: 1.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 4.0 minutes, 1.0 shots, CLE allows the 11th most to forwards.
Smith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 27 @ NYK 5.5 6 1
Oct 25 @ PHI 0.8 2 1
Oct 23 @ MIA 1.3 1 0
Riley Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ CHA 1.0 4 1
Oct 24 @ CHI 2.0 4 1

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Riley
Median DraftKings pts 0.0 1.3
Min 4.3 9.6
PTS 1.9 4.3
REB 1.4 1.2
AST 0.3 0.7
STL 0.1 0.3
BLK 0.1 0.1
3PM 0.1 0.5
TO 0.3 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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