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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start AJ Dillon or Eli Heidenreich?

The verdict

Start Eli Heidenreich

Wins 68% of simulated matchups against Dillon.

Both games are over; the points arrive with the box scores.

Dillon 32% 68% Heidenreich

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

RB Panthers RB #87

AJ Dillon

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #90 Start

Eli Heidenreich

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Dillon: 1.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 12% of snaps, 4.8 touches, TB allows the 30th most to RBs.
  • Heidenreich: 0.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 4% of snaps, 0.0 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Dillon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 4 vs DET 1.7 15% 6
Wk 3 @ CLE 2.4 16% 5
Wk 2 @ ATL -0.3 6% 3
Wk 1 vs CHI 2.8 10% 5
Heidenreich Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 2 @ NE 0.0 – –
Wk 1 vs ATL 0.0 4% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Dillon Heidenreich
Median DraftKings pts 0.0 0.0
Rush Yds 0.2 2.5
Rush TD 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 0.3
Rec Yds 0.1 2.1
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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