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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Alvin Kamara or Makai Lemon?

The verdict

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Kamara.

Kamara already played: 13.2 DraftKings pts (projected 7.9).

Week 6: Kamara outscored Lemon 14.9 to 4.9. Our call, start Kamara (54%), was right.

Kamara 43% 57% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Saints RB #26

Alvin Kamara

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 7.9
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked just now
WR Eagles WR #30 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 9.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kamara: 13.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 9.8 touches, PIT allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Lemon: 6.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 8th most to WRs.
Kamara Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 13.2 56% 13
Wk 6 @ NYG 14.9 26% 9
Wk 5 vs MIN 2.6 27% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 22.8 38% 12
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 4.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 9.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 5.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 5.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kamara Lemon
Median DraftKings pts 7.9 9.5
Rush Yds 30.2 0.6
Rush TD 0.2 0.0
Rec 2.3 5.1
Rec Yds 15.7 42.9
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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