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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Andy Dalton or Michael Penix Jr.?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 96% of simulated matchups against Dalton.

Dalton's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix already played: 20.4 DraftKings pts (projected 17.0).

Dalton 4% 96% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #64

Andy Dalton

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 17.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Dalton: -1.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 1, 8% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Dalton Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 3 @ CHI -1.0 8% 1
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 24.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Dalton Penix
Median DraftKings pts 0.0 17.0
Pass Yds 0.0 218.8
Pass TD 0.0 1.2
INT 0.0 0.4
Rush Yds 0.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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