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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Baker Mayfield or Justin Fields?

The verdict

Start Baker Mayfield

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Fields.

Mayfield already played: 6.7 DraftKings pts (projected 0.4).

Fields's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Mayfield 58% 42% Fields

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

QB Buccaneers QB #30 Start

Baker Mayfield

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (DraftKings) 0.4
Status Q Thumb Official designation · Fri · 74% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 20m ago
QB Chiefs QB #31

Justin Fields

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mayfield: 11.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 96% of snaps, CAR allows the 18th most to QBs.
  • Fields: 0.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 1, 1% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Mayfield Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ CAR 6.7 90% 11
Wk 3 vs MIN 12.3 94% 34
Wk 2 vs CLE 13.2 100% 34
Wk 1 @ CIN 14.6 100% 28
Fields Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 1 vs DEN 0.0 1% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mayfield Fields
Median DraftKings pts 0.4 0.3
Pass Yds 85.8 38.1
Pass TD 0.5 0.2
INT 0.3 0.1
Rush Yds 15.7 11.6
Rush TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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