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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Baker Mayfield or Tyrod Taylor?

The verdict

Start Baker Mayfield

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Taylor.

Mayfield already played: 6.7 Half PPR pts (projected 0.4).

Taylor's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Mayfield 58% 42% Taylor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Buccaneers QB #30 Start

Baker Mayfield

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Half PPR) 0.4
Status Q Thumb Official designation · Fri · 74% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 6m ago
QB Packers QB #32

Tyrod Taylor

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mayfield: 10.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 96% of snaps, CAR allows the 19th most to QBs.
  • Taylor: -0.2 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 3% of snaps, DET allows the 1st most to QBs.
Mayfield Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ CAR 6.7 90% 11
Wk 3 vs MIN 11.3 94% 34
Wk 2 vs CLE 12.2 100% 34
Wk 1 @ CIN 11.6 100% 28
Taylor Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 5 vs CHI -0.2 3% 0

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mayfield Taylor
Median Half PPR pts 0.4 0.3
Pass Yds 85.8 53.0
Pass TD 0.5 0.4
INT 0.3 0.2
Rush Yds 15.7 6.5
Rush TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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