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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Bo Nix or Geno Smith?

Final · Week 7

Nix outscored Smith

Our call was start Nix (54%): right by 2.7 PPR pts.

Nix 26.2 Projected 15.3
Smith 23.5 Projected 13.9

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Broncos QB #16 Start

Bo Nix

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (PPR) 15.3
Status Active
QB Jets QB #21

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (PPR) 13.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Nix: 13.0 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, ARI allows the 2nd most to QBs.
  • Smith: 13.5 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 7th most to QBs.
Nix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ARI 26.2 – 29
Wk 6 vs SEA 4.5 100% 27
Wk 5 @ LAC 7.9 100% 27
Wk 4 @ SF 13.6 98% 42
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 23.5 – 30
Wk 6 @ NE 12.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 10.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Nix Smith
Median PPR pts 15.3 13.9
Pass Yds 189.0 185.8
Pass TD 1.3 1.3
INT 0.5 0.6
Rush Yds 25.9 10.6
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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