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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Bo Nix or Patrick Mahomes?

Final · Week 7

Nix outscored Mahomes

Our call was start Nix (54%): right by 20.2 Half PPR pts.

Nix 26.2 Projected 15.3
Mahomes 6.0 Projected 14.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Broncos QB #16 Start

Bo Nix

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Half PPR) 15.3
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #18

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Half PPR) 14.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Nix: 13.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, ARI allows the 2nd most to QBs.
  • Mahomes: 12.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Nix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ARI 26.2 – 29
Wk 6 vs SEA 4.5 100% 27
Wk 5 @ LAC 7.9 100% 27
Wk 4 @ SF 13.6 98% 42
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 – 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Nix Mahomes
Median Half PPR pts 15.3 14.4
Pass Yds 189.0 187.1
Pass TD 1.3 1.0
INT 0.5 0.5
Rush Yds 25.9 24.8
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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