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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Brandon Aubrey or Daniel Carlson?

The verdict

Start Brandon Aubrey

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Carlson.

Carlson already played: 4.0 Standard pts (projected 7.2).

Week 6: Carlson outscored Aubrey 14.0 to 1.0. Our call, start Aubrey (55%), was wrong.

Aubrey 57% 43% Carlson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
K Cowboys K #14 Start

Brandon Aubrey

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.1
Status Active
K Saints K #23

Daniel Carlson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 7.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Aubrey: 7.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, PHI allows the 21st most to Ks.
  • Carlson: 6.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, PIT allows the 2nd most to Ks.
Aubrey Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.0 – –
Wk 5 vs TB 5.0 – –
Wk 4 @ HOU 12.0 – –
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.0 – –
Carlson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 4.0 – –
Wk 6 @ NYG 14.0 – –
Wk 5 vs MIN 1.0 – –
Wk 4 vs ATL 6.0 – –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Aubrey Carlson
Median Standard pts 8.1 7.2
FG 1.7 1.5
XP 2.5 2.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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