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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Brandon Aubrey or Wil Lutz?

Close call

Start Brandon Aubrey

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Lutz.

Lutz already played: 14.0 Half PPR pts (projected 8.3).

Aubrey 51% 49% Lutz

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Aubrey has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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K Cowboys K #14 Start

Brandon Aubrey

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 8.1
Status Active
K Broncos K #9

Wil Lutz

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Half PPR) 8.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Aubrey: 7.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, PHI allows the 21st most to Ks.
  • Lutz: 10.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, ARI allows the 20th most to Ks.
Aubrey Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.0 – –
Wk 5 vs TB 5.0 – –
Wk 4 @ HOU 12.0 – –
Wk 3 vs BAL 11.0 – –
Lutz Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ARI 14.0 – –
Wk 6 vs SEA 7.0 – –
Wk 5 @ LAC 11.0 – –
Wk 4 @ SF 9.0 – –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Aubrey Lutz
Median Half PPR pts 8.1 8.3
FG 1.7 1.7
XP 2.6 2.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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