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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Brandon Johnson or Hunter Luepke?

Close call

Start Brandon Johnson

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Luepke.

Johnson already played: 0.0 DraftKings pts (projected 0.8).

Week 6: Luepke outscored Johnson 3.9 to 0.0. Our call, start Johnson (72%), was wrong.

Johnson 51% 49% Luepke

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Steelers WR #105 Start

Brandon Johnson

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 0.8
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #72

Hunter Luepke

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Johnson: 0.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 8% of snaps, 0.0 touches, NO allows the 23rd most to WRs.
  • Luepke: 1.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 13% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PHI allows the 18th most to RBs.
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 0.0 12% –
Wk 6 @ TB 0.0 4% –
Luepke Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.9 14% 3
Wk 5 vs TB 0.5 12% 1
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.2 12% 1
Wk 3 vs BAL 0.0 14% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Johnson Luepke
Median DraftKings pts 0.8 0.5
Rec 0.8 0.4
Rec Yds 10.0 3.4
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 0.1 3.7
Rush TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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