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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Brock Purdy or Joe Burrow?

Final · Week 7

Burrow outscored Purdy

Our call was start Purdy (59%): wrong by 16.9 Half PPR pts.

Purdy 12.0 Projected 22.3
Burrow 28.9 Projected 18.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB 49ers QB #1 Start

Brock Purdy

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 22.3
Status Active
QB Bengals QB #4

Joe Burrow

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 18.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Purdy: 16.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, ATL allows the 13th most to QBs.
  • Burrow: 24.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, BAL allows the 16th most to QBs.
Purdy Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ATL 12.0 100% 40
Wk 6 vs WAS 17.4 100% 29
Wk 5 @ SEA 16.2 100% 29
Wk 4 vs DEN 19.6 100% 30
Burrow Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ BAL 28.9 94% 30
Wk 5 @ MIA 24.6 100% 32
Wk 4 vs JAX 23.7 100% 54
Wk 3 @ PIT 22.6 100% 37

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Purdy Burrow
Median Half PPR pts 22.3 18.4
Pass Yds 260.4 261.8
Pass TD 2.0 1.9
INT 0.8 0.6
Rush Yds 42.4 18.4
Rush TD 0.5 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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