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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Bryce Lance or Noah Gray?

Final · Week 7

Gray outscored Lance

Our call was start Lance (51%): wrong by 3.2 Standard pts.

Lance 1.2 Projected 1.7
Gray 4.4 Projected 1.5

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Saints WR #73 Start

Bryce Lance

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 1.7
Status Active
TE Chiefs TE #34

Noah Gray

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 1.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lance: 2.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 59% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to WRs.
  • Gray: 3.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 65% of snaps, 2.8 touches, SEA allows the 30th most to TEs.
Lance Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 1.2 – 2
Wk 6 @ NYG 6.9 50% 2
Wk 5 vs MIN 0.0 42% –
Wk 4 vs ATL 0.7 85% 1
Gray Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 4.4 – 3
Wk 6 vs LAC 5.3 64% 3
Wk 4 @ LV 1.7 68% 2
Wk 3 @ MIA 3.9 63% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lance Gray
Median Standard pts 1.7 1.5
Rec 1.7 1.8
Rec Yds 21.4 17.3
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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