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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Cam Ward or J.J. McCarthy?

Final · Week 7

McCarthy outscored Ward

Our call was start Ward (53%): wrong by 4.4 Standard pts.

Ward 5.7 Projected 9.2
McCarthy 10.2 Projected 4.7

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Titans QB #27 Start

Cam Ward

vs Cleveland Browns · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 9.2
Status Active
QB Giants QB #28

J.J. McCarthy

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 4.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ward: 8.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, CLE allows the 25th most to QBs.
  • McCarthy: 8.9 Standard pts/game over his last 3, 23% of snaps, HOU allows the 11th most to QBs.
Ward Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs CLE 5.7 – 31
Wk 6 @ IND 6.8 100% 22
Wk 5 vs HOU 5.0 100% 36
Wk 4 @ BAL 15.6 100% 31
McCarthy Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ HOU 10.2 – 28
Wk 6 vs NO 16.3 40% 21
Wk 5 @ WAS 0.2 6% 0

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ward McCarthy
Median Standard pts 9.2 4.7
Pass Yds 141.1 107.6
Pass TD 0.8 0.6
INT 0.5 0.7
Rush Yds 12.1 13.0
Rush TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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