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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Carson Wentz or Kyler Murray?

The verdict

Start Kyler Murray

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Wentz.

Wentz's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Murray already played: 13.9 Half PPR pts (projected 15.9).

Wentz 10% 90% Murray

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Vikings QB #61

Carson Wentz

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 0.1
Status Active
QB Vikings QB #12 Start

Kyler Murray

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 15.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Wentz: 12.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 92% of snaps, IND allows the 12th most to QBs.
  • Murray: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, IND allows the 12th most to QBs.
Wentz Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 @ CHI 6.3 100% 20
Wk 1 vs GB 19.2 83% 19
Murray Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs IND 13.9 – 24
Wk 5 @ NO 18.3 100% 30
Wk 4 vs MIA 11.5 100% 37
Wk 3 @ TB 10.4 100% 29

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Wentz Murray
Median Half PPR pts 0.1 15.9
Pass Yds 27.2 178.1
Pass TD 0.2 0.9
INT 0.1 0.5
Rush Yds 3.1 53.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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