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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Cedric Tillman or Justin Watson?

Close call

Start Cedric Tillman

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Watson.

Tillman's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Watson already played: 1.7 PPR pts (projected 1.1).

Week 6: Tillman and Watson tied at 0.0. Our call, start Watson (55%), was a push.

Tillman 51% 49% Watson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

WR Saints WR #98 Start

Cedric Tillman

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (PPR) 1.1
Status Active
WR Chiefs WR #99

Justin Watson

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (PPR) 1.1
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Tillman: 0.0 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 4% of snaps, 0.0 touches, PIT allows the 19th most to WRs.
  • Watson: 0.8 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 2% of snaps, 0.5 touches, SEA allows the 32nd most to WRs.
Tillman Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 6% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 0.0 2% –
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 1.7 – 1
Wk 6 vs LAC 0.0 2% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Tillman Watson
Median PPR pts 1.1 1.1
Rec 1.1 1.0
Rec Yds 12.8 13.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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