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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs?

Final · Week 7

McCaffrey outscored Gibbs

Our call was start Gibbs (63%): wrong by 3.7 Standard pts.

McCaffrey 16.0 Projected 14.0
Gibbs 12.3 Projected 19.1

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB 49ers RB #5

Christian McCaffrey

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 14.0
Status Active
RB Lions RB #1 Start

Jahmyr Gibbs

vs Green Bay Packers · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Standard) 19.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • McCaffrey: 16.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 80% of snaps, 17.5 touches, ATL allows the 7th most to RBs.
  • Gibbs: 23.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 75% of snaps, 27.5 touches, GB allows the 6th most to RBs.
McCaffrey Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 16.0 – 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 21.7 85% 25
Wk 5 @ SEA 14.3 82% 14
Wk 4 vs DEN 13.0 74% 18
Gibbs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs GB 12.3 – 34
Wk 5 @ ARI 32.7 70% 30
Wk 4 @ CAR 13.7 87% 19
Wk 3 vs NYJ 34.4 69% 27

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat McCaffrey Gibbs
Median Standard pts 14.0 19.1
Rush Yds 63.1 100.8
Rush TD 0.8 1.1
Rec 4.5 5.0
Rec Yds 40.9 47.8
Rec TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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