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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Connor Heyward or Johnny Mundt?

The verdict

Start Connor Heyward

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Mundt.

Heyward already played: 1.3 Standard pts (projected 0.1).

Week 6: Mundt outscored Heyward 0.4 to 0.0. Our call, start Heyward (54%), was wrong.

Heyward 55% 45% Mundt

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Raiders RB #78 Start

Connor Heyward

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active
TE Eagles TE #54

Johnny Mundt

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Heyward: 0.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 19% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Mundt: 0.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 0.5 touches, DAL allows the 19th most to TEs.
Heyward Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 1.3 10% 1
Wk 6 vs BUF 0.0 20% –
Wk 5 @ NE 0.0 22% –
Wk 4 vs KC 0.5 23% 3
Mundt Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 0.4 30% 1
Wk 5 @ JAX 0.0 32% –
Wk 4 vs LAR 0.0 80% –
Wk 3 @ CHI 0.4 52% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Heyward Mundt
Median Standard pts 0.1 0.1
Rush Yds 3.8 0.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.2 0.8
Rec Yds 1.4 6.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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