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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Connor Heyward or Justin Joly?

Close call

Start Connor Heyward

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Heyward already played: 1.8 Half PPR pts (projected 0.2).

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Heyward 53% 47% Joly

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Raiders RB #77 Start

Connor Heyward

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Half PPR) 0.2
Status Active
TE Dolphins TE #55

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Heyward: 0.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 19% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 21st most to RBs.
  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
Heyward Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 1.8 10% 1
Wk 6 vs BUF 0.0 20% –
Wk 5 @ NE 0.0 22% –
Wk 4 vs KC 1.0 23% 3
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Heyward Joly
Median Half PPR pts 0.2 0.3
Rush Yds 3.8 0.2
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.2 0.7
Rec Yds 1.4 6.6
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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