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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Dallas Goedert or Isaiah Likely?

The verdict

Start Isaiah Likely

Wins 63% of simulated matchups against Goedert.

Likely already played: 2.2 Half PPR pts (projected 10.0).

Week 6: Likely outscored Goedert 20.9 to 9.1. Our call, start Likely (57%), was right.

Goedert 37% 63% Likely

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Eagles TE #9

Dallas Goedert

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.4
Status Active
TE Giants TE #6 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 10.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Goedert: 9.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 68% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DAL allows the 18th most to TEs.
  • Likely: 15.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 28th most to TEs.
Goedert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 9.1 81% 6
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 69% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 0.9 25% 1
Wk 1 vs WAS 21.7 95% 4
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 2.2 – 2
Wk 6 vs NO 20.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 26.9 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 10.1 66% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Goedert Likely
Median Half PPR pts 6.4 10.0
Rec 3.9 6.1
Rec Yds 37.9 56.1
Rec TD 0.3 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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