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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dallas Goedert or Kyle Pitts?

Close call

Start Dallas Goedert

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Pitts.

Pitts already played: 8.2 Standard pts (projected 4.1).

Week 6: Pitts outscored Goedert 18.0 to 6.1. Our call, start Goedert (60%), was wrong.

Goedert 51% 49% Pitts

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Eagles TE #10 Start

Dallas Goedert

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.2
Status Active
TE Falcons TE #11

Kyle Pitts

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 4.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Goedert: 7.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 68% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DAL allows the 19th most to TEs.
  • Pitts: 10.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 4.5 touches, SF allows the 26th most to TEs.
Goedert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 6.1 81% 6
Wk 5 @ JAX 3.8 69% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 0.4 25% 1
Wk 1 vs WAS 19.7 95% 4
Pitts Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs SF 8.2 56% 5
Wk 6 vs CHI 18.0 78% 5
Wk 5 vs BAL 10.2 67% 5
Wk 4 @ NO 4.7 51% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Goedert Pitts
Median Standard pts 4.2 4.1
Rec 3.9 3.3
Rec Yds 37.9 36.8
Rec TD 0.3 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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