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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Juwan Johnson?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Johnson already played: 1.7 DraftKings pts (projected 7.5).

Week 6: Pierce outscored Johnson 15.0 to 0.0. Our call, start Johnson (63%), was wrong.

Pierce 55% 45% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #27 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 7.6
Status Active
TE Saints TE #14

Juwan Johnson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 7.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 9.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 10th most to RBs.
  • Johnson: 4.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 64% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to TEs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 15.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 3.2 77% 13
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 1.7 56% 1
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 58% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 5.6 64% 4
Wk 4 vs ATL 11.9 78% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Johnson
Median DraftKings pts 7.6 7.5
Rush Yds 37.0 0.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 3.8
Rec Yds 8.6 39.2
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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