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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Travis Kelce?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Kelce.

Kelce already played: 8.4 PPR pts (projected 6.9).

Week 6: Pierce outscored Kelce 15.0 to 9.3. Our call, start Kelce (53%), was wrong.

Pierce 57% 43% Kelce

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #27 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 7.5
Status Active
TE Chiefs TE #17

Travis Kelce

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (PPR) 6.9
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 7m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 9.1 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 10th most to RBs.
  • Kelce: 8.8 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 76% of snaps, 3.0 touches, SEA allows the 30th most to TEs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 15.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 3.2 77% 13
Kelce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 8.4 – 4
Wk 6 vs LAC 9.3 66% 4
Wk 4 @ LV 3.5 83% 2
Wk 3 @ MIA 13.9 79% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Kelce
Median PPR pts 7.5 6.9
Rush Yds 37.0 0.0
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 3.2
Rec Yds 8.6 34.7
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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