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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Daniel Bellinger or Pharaoh Brown?

Close call

Start Pharaoh Brown

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Bellinger.

Bellinger already played: 0.4 Standard pts (projected 0.3).

Brown's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Brown outscored Bellinger 0.7 to 0.0. Our call, start Brown (52%), was right.

Bellinger 46% 54% Brown

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Titans TE #50

Daniel Bellinger

vs Cleveland Browns · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active
TE Colts TE #45 Start

Pharaoh Brown

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 0.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bellinger: 0.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 48% of snaps, 0.8 touches, CLE allows the 17th most to TEs.
  • Brown: 0.7 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
Bellinger Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CLE 0.4 – 1
Wk 6 @ IND 0.0 48% –
Wk 5 vs HOU 0.5 44% 1
Wk 4 @ BAL 0.2 52% 1
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs TEN 0.7 5% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Bellinger Brown
Median Standard pts 0.3 0.7
Rec 1.0 1.3
Rec Yds 9.0 9.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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